摘要: |
运用相关历史数据,分析了重庆市固定资产投资和社会消费品零售额之间的关系,通过建立Granger检验,确定两变量的因果关系,同时运用Koyck几何分布滞后模型,考察了消费与投资具体的定量关系,最后结合重庆实际提出相应的对策建议. |
关键词: 消费 投资 Granger检验 Koyck几何分布滞后模型 |
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Analysis of the Relation between Consumption and Investment by Koyck Model ——Taking Chongqing as an Example |
REN Xue
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Abstract: |
By using relative historic data, this paper analyzes the relation between fixed asset investment and retail amount of social consumption products in Chongqing, determines the causality between the two variables by Granger Test, examines real quantitative relation between consumption and investment by Koyck Geometric Distribution Lag Model, and finally gives the related measures and suggestions based on the reality of Chongqing. |
Key words: consumption investment Granger Test Koyck Geometric Distribution Lag Model |