互联网使用降低了居民生育意愿吗? ———基于CGSS 数据的经验分析
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

基金项目:


Has Internet Use Reduced Residents’ Willingness to Have Children? Empirical Analysis Based on CGSS Data
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
    摘要:

    本文基于2013—2018 年中国综合社会调查数据(CGSS),利用Probit 模型和Poisson 模型进行 分析。研究发现,互联网使用频率每增加1 个单位,居民选择生育的概率将降低2. 449 5%,并且生育孩 子的数量将减少1. 054 4%。这种影响在城镇居民、女性群体与经历过高等教育的个体中体现得更为明 显,且在二孩政策出台后体现得愈发显著。互联网使用影响居民生育意愿存在4 种机制:一是淡化了“养 儿防老”观念;二是改变了“男尊女卑” 观念;三是减少了健康对工作、生活的影响;四是提升了居民的主 观幸福感。进一步分析表明,互联网使用对生育意愿的阻碍更明显地体现在对生男孩的期待上,生女孩 的意愿则没有明显的前后差异。因此,加强互联网监管,引导居民形成积极的生育态度,将有助于缓解我 国少子化问题。

    Abstract:

    Based on the data from the Chinese General Social Survey(CGSS)from 2013 to 2018, this paper uses Probit model and Poisson model for analysis. Research has found that for every 1 unit increase in the frequency of internet use, the probability of residents choosing to have children will decrease by 2. 449 5%, and the number of children born will decrease by 1. 054 4%. This impact is more evident among urban residents, female groups, and individuals who have experienced higher education, and it is more significant after the introduction of the two-child policy. There are four mechanisms by which internet use affects residents’ fertility intention: firstly, it weakens the concept of “raising children to provide support in old age”; secondly, it changes the concept of “male superiority and female inferiority”; thirdly, it reduces the impact of health on work and life; fourthly, it has improved the subjective well-being of residents. Further analysis shows that the hindrance of internet use to fertility intention is more clearly reflected in the expectation of giving birth to boys, while there is no significant difference in the intention of having a girl. Therefore, strengthening the supervision of the internet and guiding residents to form a positive attitude towards childbearing will help alleviate the problem of low fertility rates in

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

徐 瑾,支明悦.互联网使用降低了居民生育意愿吗? ———基于CGSS 数据的经验分析[J].重庆工商大学社会科学版,2025,42(4):93-109

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2025-07-10