数字物流驱动乡村产业振兴的内在机理及实证检验
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The Internal Mechanism and Empirical Test of Digital Logistics Driving Rural Industrial Revitalization
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    摘要:

    基于 2013—2022 年中国 30 个省份的面板数据,运用客观赋权法测度数字物流、乡村产业振兴 和城乡融合发展的综合指数,采用双向固定效应模型,对数字物流推动乡村产业振兴的直接影响进行分 析,并考察城乡融合发展发挥的中介效应,验证“ 数字物流—城乡融合发展—乡村产业振兴” 的传导路 径。 结果显示:从 2013 年到 2022 年,数字物流、乡村产业振兴和城乡融合发展指数在全国范围内均显著 增长,但东部沿海省份表现优异,西部内陆地区增长相对较慢;数字物流每提升一个单位,乡村产业振兴 指数平均增加 80. 89%,城乡融合发展的中介效应为 26. 64%;加入控制变量后城乡融合发展的中介效应 上升至 33. 86%,其中涉农财政支出增强其中介作用,产业结构呈初级化特征则会削弱其中介作用;以 2017 年乡村振兴战略提出时间为界,通过异质性分析表明该战略强化了数字物流对乡村产业振兴的驱 动作用,也增强了城乡融合发展的中介作用。

    Abstract:

    Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2013 to 2022, this paper uses the objec- tive weighting method to measure the comprehensive indices of digital logistics, rural industrial revitalization, and urban-rural integrated development. It adopts the two-way fixed-effect model to analyze the direct impact of digital logistics on promoting rural industrial revitalization, examines the mediating effect of the urban-rural inte- grated development, and verifies the transmission path of “ digital logistics - urban-rural integrated development - rural industrial revitalization” . The results show that from 2013 to 2022, the indices of digital logistics, rural industrial revitalization, and urban-rural integrated development have all increased significantly nationwide, but the eastern coastal provinces have performed excellently, while the growth in the western inland areas has been relatively slow. For every one-unit increase in digital logistics, the rural industrial revitalization index increases by an average of 80. 89%, and the mediating effect of urban-rural integrated development is 26. 64%. After adding control variables, the mediating effect of urban-rural integrated development rises to 33. 86%. Among them, the fiscal expenditure on agriculture strengthens the mediating effect, while the primary characteristics of the industrial structure weaken it. Taking the year 2017, when the rural revitalization strategy was proposed, as the boundary, the heterogeneity analysis shows that the strategy has strengthened the driving effect of digital lo- gistics on rural industrial revitalization and also enhanced the mediating effect of urban-rural integrated develop- ment.

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邱晗光a ,张德海a ,陈 超 ,陈一明b.数字物流驱动乡村产业振兴的内在机理及实证检验[J].重庆工商大学社会科学版,2025,42(3):40-55

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-04