中非农产品贸易特征及贸易潜力实证研究
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An Empirical Study on the Characteristics and Trade Potential of China-Africa Agricultural Products Trade
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    摘要:

    基于“一带一路”倡议背景,以中非农产品贸易为切入点,系统分析了中国与非洲的农产品贸易总量、贸易商品结构以及贸易市场结构。通过对中非重要农产品贸易伙伴农产品的竞争性和互补性进行指数分析,探究中非农产品贸易的影响因素,进而测算2018年中国与24个非洲国家的农产品贸易潜力。实证显示:从整体来看,中非农产品国际竞争力均相对较弱,中非农产品贸易商品结构仍有待优化和调整。中国和非洲各国的国内经济发展水平、地理距离、中非合作论坛等均对中国与非洲的农产品贸易产生重要影响。中非农产品贸易呈现潜力巨大型、潜力开拓型和潜力再造型,且潜力巨大型国家比例更高,中非农产品贸易市场空间有待进一步开拓。最后,提出加强与非洲国家的政策和文化沟通,加快中国与非洲各国互联互通建设,提升非洲各国贸易便利化水平、促进中非农业合作方式升级和内容多元化以及有侧重发展与非洲国家的农产品贸易等促进中非农产品贸易发展的对策建议。

    Abstract:

    Based on the background of the “Belt and Road” initiative and taking China-Africa agricultural trade as the research point, the total volume, the structure of trade commodities, and the structure of trade markets of China-Africa agricultural trade were systematically analyzed. By analyzing the competitiveness and complementarity of agricultural products of important agricultural trading partners in China and Africa, factors affecting ChinaAfrica agricultural trade were explored, and the trade potential of agricultural products between China and 24 major African countries in 2018 was estimated. The empirical evidence shows that, on the whole, the international competitiveness of China-Africa agricultural products is relatively weak, and the commodity structure of China-Africa agricultural trade still needs to be optimized and adjusted. The level of domestic economic development, the geographical distance, and the Forum on ChinaAfrica Cooperation of China and African countries all have an important impact on the agricultural trade between China and Africa. The trade potential of agricultural products between China and Africa presents great potential, pioneering potential, and re-modeling potential, and the proportion of countries with great potential is higher. The market space for China-Africa agricultural products trade needs to be further explored. Finally, countermeasures and suggestions are put forward to promote the development of China-Africa agricultural products trade, such as strengthening policy and cultural communication with African countries, accelerating the construction of China-Africa connectivity, enhancing the level of trade facilitation in African countries, promoting the upgrading of the modes and diversification of the contents of China-Africa agricultural cooperation, and focusing on the development of agricultural products trade with African countries.

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彭虹.中非农产品贸易特征及贸易潜力实证研究[J].重庆工商大学社会科学版,2023,40(6):45-56

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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-11-24