Abstract:Under economic globalization, the situation of Renminbi is related to the existence, international status and financial environment of Chinese foreign trade enterprises, thus, it is necessary to forecast Renminbi/US dollar exchange rate. Based on the demonstration of the feasibility, heteroscedasticity and selfdependablity of time series, related GARCH(1,1) Model is set up, the model is used to forecast US dollar/Renminbi exchange rate. The results show that GARCHM Model can be used to forecast the exchange rate in reality but because of few testing data, the forecast can not reach accuracy destination.