加工贸易对我国出口技术结构影响的实证分析——基于省级区域金属制品出口的面板协整
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Empirical Analysis of the Effect of Processing Trade on the Export Technology Structure——Panel Cointegration Analysis Based on Provincial Region Metal Product Export
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    摘要:

    运用模型对我国2002-2008年29个省级区域金属制品的亚产业和省 级区域层面出口技术结构进行测度#同时运用动态EU,模型分析加工贸易对我国金属制品出 口技术结构的作用,分析表明,我国金属制品出口技术结构较高的省份多为经济较为发达的 东部省份,中西部区域的出口技术结构相对较低,金属制品出口技术结构有提升较快,但亚产 业和省级区域内部的出口技术结构差异性在扩大,虽然加工贸易促进了金属制品出口技术结 构的升级,但对不同亚产业和省级区域出口技术结构变迁的作用力存在较大的差异#表现出显 著的两极分化效应。

    Abstract:

    Base on the provincial export data from 2002 to 2008,we take advantage of Hausmann(2005) model to estimate metal industry's technology content of export structure from sub-industry and provincial level of 29 provinces,moreover we use Kernel test to analyze the distribution of them.Then we use dynamic OLS model of Kao&Chiang(2000) to study the effect of processing trade on the technology content of export structure from five aspects.The result show that the majority of the provinces which have higher metal product export technology are eastern developed provinces and the export technology in middle provinces which have higher metal product export technology are eastern developed provinces and the export technology in middle provinces is relatively lower,that China's metal industry's technology content of export structure increases quickly but the gap becomes larger between different sub-industries and provinces,and that although processing trade enhances the export technology structure of metal products of China,its effects are different between different sub-industry and provinces on export technology structure evolution.It has polarized effect on metal industry's technology content of export structure.

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