| 摘要: |
| 针对新基建与物流业产业结构关系在实证研究上的不足，本文基于河南省2001—2019年的相关数据，构建新基建与物流业产业结构升级的指标体系，结合状态空间模型，通过协整检验、格兰杰因果检验来分析新基建对物流业产业结构升级的动态影响效应。结果显示：新基建是物流业产业结构升级的格兰杰原因，并且两者之间具有长期均衡关系。结合状态空间模型估计结果，可以看出新基建对物流业产业结构升级的弹性系数为正且呈倒“U”形，即新基建对物流业产业结构升级具有正向促进作用。对此，为了更好地发挥这种正向作用，提出相关政策建议。 |
| 关键词: 新基建 产业结构升级 熵权法 状态空间模型 |
| DOI： |
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| An Empirical Study on the Impact of New Infrastructure on Industrial Structure Upgrading of Logistics Industry |
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LIU Zhan-yu, WANG Hong, FAN Juan
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Energy Research Center, School of Business Administration, Henan Polytechnic University, Jiaozuo 454000, Henan, China
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| Abstract: |
| Aiming at the insufficiency of empirical research on the relationship between new infrastructure and the industrial structure of the logistics industry, this paper constructs the index system of new infrastructure and industrial structure upgrading of the logistics industry based on the relevant data of Henan Province from 2001 to 2019, combines with the state-space model, and analyzes the dynamic influence effect of new infrastructure on the industrial structure upgrading of logistics industry through the co-integration test and Granger causality test. The results show that new infrastructure is the Granger cause of industrial structure upgrading of the logistics industry, and there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the two. Combined with the estimation results of the state-space model, it can be seen that the elasticity coefficient of new infrastructure on the industrial structure upgrading of the logistics industry is positive and inverted “U” shape, indicating that the new infrastructure has a positive promotion effect on the industrial structure upgrading of the logistics industry. In this regard, in order to better play this positive role, relevant policy suggestions are put forward. |
| Key words: new infrastructure industrial structure upgrading entropy weight method state-space modeling |
