| 摘要: |
| 绿色基础设施是自然的生态基础设施和半自然的市政绿色空间的结合，它遵循自然发展的规律，在改善生态环境和保护生物多样性的同时，也蕴藏着新的经济增长点。本研究尝试构建绿色基础设施经济价值评价指标，测算全国各省的绿色基础设施经济价值（2004—2015），探究其区域分布状况，并进一步运用灰色模型预测2016年、2020年和2025年我国绿色基础设施的经济价值，以期提升人们对绿色基础设施的认识，为在城市规划中建设和完善绿色基础设施提供参考，促进生态环境与经济的良性循环，推动城市可持续发展。 |
| 关键词: 绿色基础设施 生态系统服务价值 空间相关性 灰色预测 |
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| The Measurement and Analysis of the Economic Value of Green Infrastructure in China |
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WU Jia ni
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| Abstract: |
| Green infrastructure is the combination of natural ecological infrastructure and half nature municipal green space, which follows the law of natural development. It improves the ecological environment and biodiversity conservation as well as provides new economic growth point. This study attempts to build a green infrastructure economic value evaluation index, estimate the economic value of the green infrastructure of each province and municipality of China from 2004 to 2015, explore its regional distribution, and further use the grey model to predict the green infrastructure economic value of 2016, 2020 and 2025, in order to raise people’s awareness of green infrastructure, to provide reference for construction and improvement of the green infrastructure in urban planning and to promote the virtuous cycle of ecological environment and economy, as well as the urban sustainable development. |
| Key words: green infrastructure ecosystem services value spatial correlation grey prediction |
