| 摘要: |
| 本文运用ADF单位检验、格兰杰因果关系检验以及回归检验等方法。对2004年至2012年的新型城镇化率与农业发展方式衡量指标的数据分析，结果表明新城镇化率与农业发展方式衡量指标之间存在长期均衡关系，但当前农业发展方式与新型城镇化之间存在脱节，农业发展过度依赖化学投入背离新型城镇化要求，机械农业仅能在一定程度的上推动新型城镇化发展。因此农业发展方式的转型应当以绿色环保为前提，以改进机械农业为动力，以创新生产经营组织形式为目的，适应新型城镇化发展的需要。 |
| 关键词: 新型城镇化 农业发展方式 转型 |
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| Agricultural Development Mode Transition under the Background of the New type Urbanization |
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DENG Xin, QI Yanbin, YU Weiyong
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| Abstract: |
| By using the ADF unit test, Grainger causality test and regression test and so on, this paper analyzes the data of measurement index of new style urbanization rate and agricultural development mode during 2004—2012, and the results show that there is a long term equilibrium relationship between the measurement indexes of new type urbanization rate and the mode of agricultural development, but there is a disconnection between the current agricultural development mode and new type urbanization, that agricultural development excessively depends on chemical inputs, which departs from the requirements of the new type urbanization, and that mechanical agriculture promotes the development of new urbanization to a certain extent. Therefore, the transformation of agricultural development mode should take the green environmental protection as the premise, take the improvement of the agricultural machinery as the power, and take innovative business forms of organization as the purpose, so as to suit the needs of the development of new type urbanization. |
| Key words: new type urbanization agricultural development mode transition |
