| 摘要: |
| 用中国西南地区1978～2006年反映城镇化发展和产业结构升级的指标数据，利用现代计量经济学的非平稳时间序列分析方法，定量探究中国西南地区城镇化发展与产业结构升级之间的内在联系。结果表明, 中国西南地区城镇化发展和产业结构升级之间存在一种长期关系，但其关系不是十分显著；同时，城镇化进程的加快有助于该地区产业结构升级，但是产业结构升级不能为城镇化水平的提高提供支持。 |
| 关键词: 城镇化率； 产业结构升级 ； 西南地区 VEC模型；Granger因果关系 |
| DOI： |
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| Study of the relationship between urbanization and industrial structure upgrading in southwest of China |
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MA Zhi-li, CHEN Bin
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| Abstract: |
| By using the data from 1978-2006 of southwest of China which reflect urbanization and industrial structure upgrading, by using unit root test of modern econometrics and based on quantitatively studying inner relationship between urbanization and industrial structure upgrading in southwest of China, this paper points out that there is a long-term relation between urbanization development in southwest China and industrial structure upgrading, but the relation is not obvious, 〖JP3〗meanwhile, urbanization process acceleration is helpful to industrial structure upgrading in this area, but industrial structure upgrading can not support upgracting of urbanization level. |
| Key words: urbanization rate industrial structure upgrading southwest area VEC Model Granger causality relation |
