基于正确登记概率的普查直接多报估计
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

基金项目:


Estimation of Erroneous Enumerations in Population Census Based on Correct Registration Probability
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
    摘要:

    基于现有的普查直接多报估计量,在二重抽样调查下,对样本小区登记人口数梳理分类,构建基于正确登记概率的普查直接多报估计量,以解决前者由于计数对象不确定而造成的多报虚增问题。创新之处在于:构建样本小区下登记人口数的指标体系,提出基于正确登记概率的普查直接多报估计量、发生重报估计量和重报估计量,并将普查直接多报估计量与基于正确概率的普查直接多报估计量进行比较研究。理论研究和实证研究得出:普查直接多报估计值及抽样标准误差都高于基于正确登记概率的普查直接多报估计值及抽样标准误差,〖JP2〗普查直接多报估计量虚增了普查多报人口数,基于正确登记概率的普查直接多报估计量精度更高。

    Abstract:

    Based on the existing census direct estimator of erroneous enumerations, this paper classifies the registered population in the sample area under the double sampling survey, and constructs the census direct erroneous enumerations based on the correct registration probability, so as to solve the problem of erroneous enumerations and false increase caused by the uncertainty of the target population. The innovation lies in constructing the index system of the number of registered populations in the sample area, putting forward the direct erroneous enumerations, occurrence duplicate enumerations and duplicate enumerations of census based on the correct registration probability, and comparing the direct erroneous enumerations estimate of the census with the direct erroneous enumerations estimate based on the correct probability. Theoretical and empirical studies show that the direct overestimation and sampling standard error of census are higher than the direct overestimation and sampling standard error of census based on correct registration probability. The results show that the direct erroneous enumerations falsely increase the number of erroneous enumerations, and the accuracy of the direct erroneous enumerations based on the correct registration probability is higher.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

吴婷, 胡桂华.基于正确登记概率的普查直接多报估计[J].重庆工商大学学报(自然科学版),2022,39(2):90-98
WU Ting, HU Gui-hua. Estimation of Erroneous Enumerations in Population Census Based on Correct Registration Probability[J]. Journal of Chongqing Technology and Business University(Natural Science Edition),2022,39(2):90-98

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2022-03-25
×
《重庆工商大学学报(自然科学版)》首次进入Q1分区