摘要: |
为更好地针对霍乱传染病进行有效控制和预防,同时采用预防接种和积极对受污染水源进行消毒两种控制方法,再考虑到霍乱弧菌在不洁水源中会存活一段较长的时间,因此建立含有预防接种和水源消毒的霍乱时滞模型;对模型进行稳定性分析,但当时滞大小超过一个阙值的时候,稳定性发生变化,从而产生Hopf分支;最后通过实例进行模型数值模拟,研究这两种控制方法的有效性以及时滞大小对模型稳定性的影响。 |
关键词: 霍乱 时滞 疫苗接种 水源消毒 Hopf分支 |
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Analysis of Cholera Delay Model with Vaccination and Insecticides |
LIAO Shu, YANG Wei ming
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Abstract: |
In order to better control and prevent cholera epidemic disease, a nonlinear delay mathematical model is proposed with two control methods of vaccination and insecticides, and time delay is incorporated in the model because the Vibrio cholera always survives for a long period of time in the contaminated water. The stability analysis of the model is conducted, but when the time delay length exceeds a threshold, the model has a destabilizing effect on the system, Hopf-bifurcation occurs. Finally, numerical simulation is used to study the validity of the two control methods and the effect of delay size on the stability of the model. |
Key words: cholera time delay vaccination insecticides Hopf-bifurcation |