| 摘要: |
| 首先分别建立了持续法、灰色、支持向量机风功率预测模型，然后利用各个模型的预测误差建立自适应加权的组合预测模型；仿真结果表明：组合预测模型能够充分发挥各个模型的优势，有效提高预测精度。 |
| 关键词: 风功率预测 灰色预测 支持向量机 组合预测 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号: |
| 基金项目: |
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| Short tierm Wind Power Adaptively Weighted Combination Forecast |
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PEI Rui ping, TIAN Li, WEI An jing, WANG Jun, ZHANG Yan
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| Abstract: |
| Firstly Continuous prediction method and grey forecasting model and LS SVM forecasting model is established for wind power forecast separately in this paper. Secondly through using prediction errors of the models, an adaptively weighted combination forecasting model is created. The simulation results indicate that the proposed combination forecasting model can give full play to the advantages of each model and improve the prediction precision effectively. |
| Key words: wind power forecast grey forecast SVM combination forecast |
