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| 摘要: |
| 发展信息产业是重庆市“五年规划”中产业结构调整升级的重要环节，它以发展成为国民经济第一支柱产业为目标，这将彻底改变重庆以传统汽摩产业为主导的高耗能格局。本文首先采用协整检验阐释发展信息产业是国民经济发展的主要推动力量；然后，应用岭回归法说明了该产业的总体发展水平；最后，提出重庆信息产业发展对国民经济影响巨大，但其发展有待提高的结论。 |
| 关键词: 信息产业 协整 岭回归 弹性 贡献 |
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| Research on the Influence of Information Industry on the National Economy in Chongqing |
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WANG Kui, LU Lun-hui
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| Abstract: |
| Developing information industry is an important step for industrial structure adjustment and upgrading in Chongqing’s "Five Year Plan" and its objective is to develop information industry into the first pillar industry of Chongqing, which can thoroughly change the situation of Chongqing’s industries mainly depending on traditional auto and motorcycle industry with high energy consumption. This paper firstly uses cointegration test to elaborate that the development of information industry is the motion to push forward national economy development, then uses ridge regression method to interpret the total development level of this industry, and finally concludes the great influence of the development of information industry in Chongqing on national economy and that the development for information industry is needed to be improved. |
| Key words: information industry cointegration test ridge regression elasticity contribution |
