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| 摘要: |
| 运用文献资料法和数理统计法，介绍了GM（1,1）模型的构建过程并利用模型对第17届亚运会女子铅球冠军成绩进行了预测；经过检验，近5届亚运会女子铅球冠军成绩，预测成绩为20.45m。 |
| 关键词: 亚运会 女子铅球 GM（1,1）模型 成绩预测 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号: |
| 基金项目: |
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| GM(1,1) Model Forecast for the First Place Player Competing Result of Female Shot in the 17th Asian Games |
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DING Ding,CHEN Yong-fang
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| Abstract: |
| Taking the method of literature and materials,and mathematical statistics,this paper introduces construting process of GM(1,1) Model and uses this Model to have forecasted the First Place Player competing result of female shot in the 17th Asian Games,the fitting degree of the First Place Players competing results of female shot of the Asian Games in recent five times is better,and fitting model y=16085e-(0.000001k)+18130.After residual test,correlation test and posterior error test,the results show that this Model has good forecast accuracy and practicability and can be used to forecast the First Place Player competing result of female shot in the 17th Asian Games,and the forecasted competing result of the First Place Player of female shot is 20.45m. |
| Key words: the Asian Games female shot GM(1,1) Mode result forecast |
