人工智能驱动的耐心资本生成范式——基于科技创新领域的“认知-决策-治理”三维分析
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Paradigm of AI-Driven Patient Capital Generation: A Three-Dimensional Analysis of “Cognition-Decision-Governance” in Science and Technology Innovation
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    摘要:

    在科技创新领域,技术价值认知不足、经济价值发现困难、资金供应与创新需求错配等导致传统投融资体系下的资本普遍缺乏“耐心”,耐心资本具有稀缺性。人工智能(AI)通过自然语言处理和知识图谱促进技术价值认知扩容提升,通过数字孪生和强化学习赋能经济价值发现精细化动态化,通过智能合约和区块链实现资金投入与研发进程自动化适配,为资本注入“耐心”,耐心资本由系统自动持续生成,不再具有稀缺性。将耐心资本生成从“依靠少数有长远规划投资者的稀缺范式”转变为“通过技术系统大规模自动产出的可持续范式”的AI并非外生的技术工具,而是内生的“制度技术”,其驱动耐心资本生成还存在数据壁垒、制度和监管滞后、AI模型透明度与可信性不足、主体认知和行为约束等现实阻碍。应夯实数字基建底座、构建开放共享的大数据平台以消除“数据孤岛”;完善制度、优化监管、改进技术、提升主体认知,并锚定正确的技术路线和应用方式以充分发挥AI系统的积极功效。

    Abstract:

    In the field of scientific and technological innovation, capital under the traditional investment and financing system generally lacks “patience” due to insufficient perception of technological value, difficulties in discovering economic value, and mismatches between capital supply and innovation demand. As a result, patient capital remains scarce. Artificial intelligence (AI) addresses this scarcity by embedding “patience” into capital through three key mechanisms. First, through natural language processing and knowledge graphs, AI enhances the perception of technological value, enabling cognitive expansion. Second, through digital twins and reinforcement learning, AI enables refined and dynamic discovery of economic value. Third, through smart contracts and blockchain, AI automates the alignment between capital investment and R&D processes. Through these mechanisms, patient capital can be generated continuously and systematically, rendering it no longer scarce. AI transforms patient capital generation from a scarce paradigm relying on a few far-sighted investors into a sustainable paradigm featuring large-scale automated output through technological systems. AI is not an exogenous technological tool but an endogenous “institutional technology.” However, the AI-driven generation of patient capital still faces practical obstacles, including data barriers, institutional and regulatory lags, insufficient transparency and trustworthiness of AI models, and cognitive and behavioral constraints of market participants. To address these challenges, it is necessary to strengthen digital infrastructure and build open and shared big data platforms to eliminate data silos. In addition, institutional frameworks should be refined, regulatory mechanisms optimized, technological systems improved, and subject cognition enhanced, while the correct technological pathways and application methods should be adopted to fully leverage the positive effects of AI systems.

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陆岷峰,张戈晖,欧阳文杰.人工智能驱动的耐心资本生成范式——基于科技创新领域的“认知-决策-治理”三维分析[J].西部论坛,2026,36(3):54-63

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-07-25