农地流转的碳减排效应研究
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Carbon Emission Reduction Effect of Agricultural Land Transfer
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    摘要:

    农地流转可以促进农地的集中使用和规模化经营,会降低农业生产经营过程中的化学品和机械等生产性投入强度,并促进农作物种植结构“趋粮化”,进而降低农业碳排放强度。采用2011—2021年30个省份的数据检验农地流转率对农业碳排放强度的影响,结果表明:农地流转率提高对农业碳排放强度具有显著的负向影响;农地流转能够通过减少农业化学品和机械投入强度、提高粮食种植面积占比来降低农业碳排放强度。进一步分析发现,因流转对象和形式的不同,农地流转的碳减排效应存在异质性,表现为:相比流入农户、企业的农地流转,流入合作社的农地流转具有更为显著的碳减排效应;相比采用出租转包、互换转让形式的农地流转,采用股份合作形式的农地流转具有更为显著的碳减排效应。因此,应积极推动农地有序流转,不断完善农地流转机制,合理引导农地流转方向,并鼓励农地流转与农业碳减排项目相结合,以有效减少农业碳排放。

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    The “dual-carbon” goal, a significant strategic decision for China in response to global climate change, is crucial in promoting comprehensive green transformation and achieving sustainable development in the economy and society. Agricultural carbon emissions, as a major source of greenhouse gases, occupy a pivotal position in carbon emissions. Given China’s status as an agricultural powerhouse, agricultural carbon emissions cannot be ignored. Therefore, how to reduce agricultural carbon emissions will be one of the important contents of China’s future green and sustainable development of agriculture. Existing literature has insufficiently analyzed agricultural carbon reduction from the perspective of land transfer and lacks consensus. Additionally, studies have not explored the effects of different transfer objects and forms on agricultural carbon emissions, which are essential aspects of land transfer. This paper utilizes the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2021 and empirically analyzes the relationship between the transfer of agricultural land and agricultural carbon emissions at the macro level by using a two-way fixed-effects model. It is found that the transfer of agricultural land contributes to agricultural carbon emission reduction; the transfer of agricultural land can reduce agricultural carbon emissions by reducing the intensity of agricultural chemical inputs and the intensity of agricultural machinery inputs, as well as by adjusting the planting structure; in addition, further analysis reveals that the different transfer objects and transfer forms will have different impacts on agricultural carbon emissions. When transfer objects are cooperatives, the transfer has a significant negative impact on agricultural carbon emissions, and when transfer objects are farmers and enterprises, the transfer has no significant impact on agricultural carbon emissions. Meanwhile, the transfer in the form of joint-stock cooperation has a significant negative impact on agricultural carbon emissions, while the transfer in the form of leasing and subcontracting, swap and transfer does not have a significant impact on agricultural carbon emissions. Compared with the existing literature, this paper expands in two aspects: first, it explores and analyzes the mechanism of agricultural land transfer on agricultural carbon emissions; second, it explores the different impacts of three kinds of transferring objects and four kinds of transferring forms on agricultural carbon emissions from the two new perspectives of objects and forms of transferring agricultural land, which further enriches the content of the transfer of agricultural land and agricultural carbon emissions. The research in this paper, to a certain extent, clarifies the logical linkage between land transfer and agricultural carbon emissions and will help to develop a more scientific agricultural land transfer policy, optimize the structure of agricultural planting, reduce agricultural carbon emissions, and promote the sustainable development of agriculture. Additionally, it provides empirical evidence for achieving the “dual carbon” goals and offers scientific theoretical support for the green and low-carbon development of China’s agriculture.

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张应良,崔超.农地流转的碳减排效应研究[J].西部论坛,2024,34(4):111-124

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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-09-17