数字普惠金融、劳动力流动与县域经济发展
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Digital Inclusive Finance, Labor Mobility and County Economic Growth
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    摘要:

    数字普惠金融可以通过缓解金融排斥促进县域经济发展,并能够通过增强县域吸纳劳动力的能力和潜力促进劳动力的净流入,从而提高县域经济发展水平。采用2014—2020年1 754个县域的非平衡面板数据,分别以人均GDP、数字普惠金融指数、劳动力净流入率衡量县域经济发展水平、数字普惠金融发展水平、劳动力流动,分析发现:数字普惠金融显著促进了县域经济发展,且数字普惠金融3个维度的发展均具有县域经济发展促进效应,其中覆盖广度拓展、使用深度加深、数字化程度提高的促进作用依次递增;数字普惠金融对中西部地区县域和贫困县经济发展水平的促进作用更为显著,表明数字普惠金融具有普惠性和亲贫性,有利于缩小区域发展差距;数字普惠金融可以通过促进劳动力流动的路径来推动县域经济发展。应积极推进县域数字普惠金融发展,尤其要加快欠发达地区的数字普惠金融发展,并统筹制定数字普惠金融发展政策和劳动力流动引导政策,通过要素流动优化资源配置,推动县域经济可持续发展。

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    As a bridge and link connecting urban and rural economies, advancing the economic development of counties has an important impact on promoting the construction and economic transformation and upgrading of China’s new countryside. However, constrained by a variety of factors such as infrastructure, capital, and technology, the foundation of industrial development in counties is weak, the overall economic capacity is low, and there is still a large space for development. As an important integration form of digital information technology and finance, digital inclusive finance(DIF) provides a new idea for promoting county economic development (CED). Nevertheless, current studies on the relationship between digital inclusive finance and county economic development are relatively few in number, the theoretical analysis is not comprehensive enough, and there is a lack of mechanism research from the perspective of labor mobility, which is yet to be combined with the actual development of counties to carry out a more in-depth analysis. Based on the panel data of Chinese counties from 2014 to 2020, this paper constructs a multiple linear regression model and a mediation effect model for empirical testing. The results show that DIF can significantly promote CED in China, and the regression results are still robust after considering the night lighting data as a substitute for the development level of the county economy and endogenous problems. Furthermore, we also find that there are structural differences and regional differences in the impact of DIF on CED. Specifically, compared with the coverage and depth of use, the degree of digitalization of DIF has a more obvious role in promoting county economic development; in the central and western regions as well as in poor counties, digital inclusive finance has a stronger role in promoting CED, reflecting the inclusive characteristics of DIF. The mechanism analysis shows that labor mobility plays a partial intermediary role between DIF and CED. Compared with previous literature, this paper expands on the following two aspects. On one hand, unlike existing studies that mostly take the provincial area as the research object, this paper starts from the county level, theoretically and empirically analyzes the influence of DIF and its sub-dimensions on CED, and further discusses the differential influence based on the heterogeneity of geographical regions. On the other hand, based on the perspective of labor mobility, this paper explores the mechanism of DIF’s effect on CED and expands the previous path research from a brand-new perspective. To a certain extent, our research reveals the important role of the labor force as the most active and dynamic factor in all kinds of production factors in the influence of DFI on CED, which is helpful for government departments to formulate digital inclusive finance development policies and labor mobility guidance measures in combination with the characteristics of county development and implement differentiated policy support for regions with different economic development levels, so as to promote common prosperity and coordinated regional development.

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梁桂保,张利杰,刘葵容.数字普惠金融、劳动力流动与县域经济发展[J].西部论坛,2024,34(1):18-31

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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-03-31