绿色投资、碳排放强度与经济高质量发展——采用空间计量模型的非线性关系检验
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Green Investment, Carbon Emission Intensity and High-quality Economic Development: Testing Non-Linear Relationship with Spatial Econometric Model
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    摘要:

    绿色投资对经济高质量发展和碳减排的影响,不仅会随着投资规模的增长而发生变化,还会因投资领域和方式的不同而有所差异,从而会存在非线性关系和投资种类的异质性。采用2003—2019年中国省级区域面板数据,运用空间杜宾模型(SDM)和半参数面板空间滞后模型的分析表明:经济高质量发展水平和碳排放强度均具有显著的空间正相关性和空间溢出效应;绿色投资对经济高质量发展具有“U型”或“N型”的非线性影响,对碳排放强度则具有“倒U型”或“倒N型”的非线性影响,目前总体上表现出从抑制经济高质量发展和碳减排向促进经济高质量发展和碳减排转变的趋势;不同种类的绿色投资对经济高质量发展和碳排放强度的影响具有明显异质性,相比环保投资和生产性绿色投资,绿色企业融资的增加更有利于经济高质量发展和碳减排;碳排放强度具有中介效应,即绿色投资可以通过影响碳排放强度作用于经济高质量发展。一方面,要建立和完善区域联动机制,有效利用经济高质量发展和碳减排的空间溢出效应;另一方面,要持续加大绿色投资规模和领域,并对各类绿色投资实施差异化策略以提高投资质量和效益,充分发挥绿色投资促进经济高质量发展和碳减排的作用,实现经济发展与环境改善的共赢。

    Abstract:

    The impact of green investment on high-quality economic development and carbon emission reduction will not only change with the growth of investment scale, but also vary with different investment fields and methods, resulting in non-linear relationships and heterogeneity in investment types. Based on the provincial panel data of China from 2003 to 2019, this paper empirically tests the non-linear relationship between green investment and high-quality economic development and carbon emission intensity by using the spatial Durbin model (SDM) and semi-parametric panel spatial lag model. The results show that there is a significant positive spatial correlation and spatial spillover effect between high-quality economic development level and carbon emission intensity. Green investment has a U-shaped or N-shaped nonlinear impact on high-quality economic development, and an inverted U-shaped or inverted N-shaped nonlinear impact on carbon emission intensity. At present, it generally shows a trend shifting from restraining high-quality economic development and carbon emission reduction to promoting high-quality economic development and carbon emission reduction. Different types of green investment have obvious heterogeneity in the impact on high-quality economic development and carbon emission intensity. Compared with environmental protection investment and productive green investment, the increase of green enterprise financing is more conducive to high-quality economic development and carbon emission reduction. Carbon emission intensity has a mediating effect, that is, green investment can affect high-quality economic development by affecting carbon emission intensity. On one hand, it is necessary to establish and improve the regional linkage mechanism to effectively use the spatial spillover effects of high-quality economic development and carbon emission reduction; on the other hand, it is necessary to continue to increase the scale and enlarge the scope of green investment, and implement differentiated strategies for all kinds of green investment to improve the quality and efficiency of investment, give full play to the role of green investment in promoting high-quality economic development and carbon emission reduction, and achieve a win-win situation of economic development and environmental improvement.

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曾胜,张明龙.绿色投资、碳排放强度与经济高质量发展——采用空间计量模型的非线性关系检验[J].西部论坛,2021,31(5):69-84

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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-11-23