我国中西部典型城市群产业升级的机会甄别与基本路径——基于产品空间理论的研究
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Opportunity Identification and Basic Path of Industrial Upgrading in Typical Urban Agglomerations of Central and Western China:A Study Based on Product Space Theory
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    摘要:

    在中国区域经济发展不平衡的背景下,如何加快产业升级已经成为现阶段中西部地区经济发展中面临的一个紧迫问题,为此,合理进行产业升级的机会甄别与路径选择成为重要需求。本文基于产品空间理论构建了产业升级分析框架,据此设计产业升级识别方法并判别潜在优势产业与生产能力禀赋,对中西部典型城市群的产业升级态势进行梳理,甄别未来产业升级的机会,探索潜在的产业升级基本路径。结果表明:以武汉、长株潭、成渝和中原城市群等典型中西部城市群处于相对边缘的产品空间位置,由此成为影响产业升级的重要瓶颈,导致现状生产能力禀赋对于产业升级具有较大约束,具有便捷升级能力的潜在机会有限。基于此,促进中西部城市群产业升级的基本路径需要选择有利于缩小产品空间距离与加速显性比较优势扩散的产业作为发展重点。本文结论表明,初始产品空间格局是影响区域产业升级的重要基础,这直接决定了潜在比较优势产业数量、类型以及升级过程中面临的潜在难度,并由此进一步指示了实现较快产业升级所要遵循的基本路径。

    Abstract:

    Under unbalanced background of regional economic development, how to speed up industrial upgrading has become an urgent issue faced by central and western China in their economic development, therefore, the opportunity identification of rational industrial upgrading and path selection become an important demand. This study builds a framework of identifying opportunities and path of industrial upgrading based on product space theory,based on that, designs judging method for industrial upgrading to analyze the potential advantage and production capacity endowment, studies the typical industrial upgrading situation of urban agglomerations in central and western China, identifies future industrial upgrading opportunity and explores potential basic path for industrial upgrading. The results indicate that the typical urban agglomerations such as Wuhan urban agglomeration, Changzhutan urban agglomeration, Chengyu urban agglomeration and Zhongyuan urban agglomeration in central and western China stay at marginal product space position, which become the bottle affecting industrial upgrading and which largely restrict industrial upgrading on the basis of current production capacity endowment, thus, the potential opportunities with agile upgrading capacity are limited. Based on this, the basic path for boosting industrial upgrading of the urban agglomerations in central and western China needs to choose focal development points of the industries with narrowing product space distance and speeding up explicit comparative advantage spread. The conclusion of this paper indicates that the spatial pattern of initial products is an important basis affecting regional industrial upgrading, which directly determine the quantity and type of the industries with potential advantage and the potential difficulties in the process of upgrading, and which further guide the basic path for realizing rapid industrial upgrading.

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毛琦梁.我国中西部典型城市群产业升级的机会甄别与基本路径——基于产品空间理论的研究[J].西部论坛,2019,29(1):71-83

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  • 在线发布日期: 2019-01-30