中国与“一带一路”沿线地区的贸易关系研究——基于2001—2013年增加值贸易核算的实证分析
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The Trade Relation between China and the “One Belt & One Road” Nations—Empirical Analysis Based on Trade in Value Added during 2001—2013
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    摘要:

    中国与“一带一路”沿线国家的经济互动日益频繁,贸易关系日益紧密。将“一带一路”沿线国家划分为东北亚、东南亚、南亚、中亚、西亚和中东欧六个地区,通过增加值贸易核算分析2001—2013年中国与“一带一路”沿线地区的贸易状况,结果表明:中国与“一带一路”地区的增加值贸易总额增长迅速,发展前景向好;贸易竞争性与互补性存在地区差异,中国与东南亚地区以竞争性贸易为主,与东北亚、西亚、中东欧地区以互补性贸易为主,而与南亚、中亚地区的贸易竞争性和互补性均较为明显;整体上,中国对“一带一路”沿线地区的出口商品主要是纺织品和服装、电子产品和机械设备等工业制品,而“一带一路”地区对中国的出口结构则差异较大。应根据中国与“一带一路”沿线各地区贸易关系的差异采取针对性措施,在加强货物贸易合作的同时开拓服务贸易合作新领域;要注重与“一带一路”沿线地区交通通讯基础设施的互联互通,并通过优惠的贸易制度安排构建互惠互利的多赢贸易关系。

    Abstract:

    The economic interaction between China and the countries of One Belt and One Road becomes more and more frequent and their trade relation is more and more close. This paper divides the countries of One Belt and One Road into such six areas as northeast Asia, southeast Asia, south Asia, middle Asia, west Asia and east and middle Europe, and uses value-added trade calculation to analyze the trade situation of China with the countries of One Belt and One Road during 2001-2013. The results show that the total amount of trade between China and the countries of One Belt and One Road increases rapidly and has good development prospect, that the trade between China and northeast Asia, southeast Asia was mainly competitive while trade between China and west Asia, middle and east Europe was mainly complementary. Generally, the export from China to “One Belt & One Road” nations concentrated on textiles, garments, electronic products, mechanical equipments and other manufacturing products, but exporting structures of the“ One Belt & One Road” nations had great difference. The paper suggested that China should take effective measures according to the different trading relationships with “One Belt & One Road” nations of various regions, strengthen the cooperation in goods trade while developing new cooperation in services trade, pay attention to the mutual connectivity of communication infrastructure with the nations, and achieve mutually beneficial win-win cooperation by preferential trade arrangement.

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张 珺,钟湘玥.中国与“一带一路”沿线地区的贸易关系研究——基于2001—2013年增加值贸易核算的实证分析[J].西部论坛,2017,27(5):102-110

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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-10-20