京津冀经济发展的空间格局、空间效应与政策效应研究
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Regional Economy Collaborative Development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei:Policy Effect and Spatial Agglomeration
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    摘要:

    采用京津冀181个区域单元2000年和2014年人均GDP数据分析其经济发展空间格局,并运用空间计量经济模型估计其空间效应与政策效应,结果表明:京津冀区域经济发展差异显著存在,且南北差异大于东西差异;“俱乐部”式空间集聚特征显著,“富人俱乐部”效应与“穷人俱乐部”效应同时存在;地理位置、期初发展水平和空间相关性对区域单元经济增长具有直接影响,而政策效应表现出异质性,2014年之前的区域政策对京、津两地经济增长具有促进作用,但一定程度阻碍了河北的经济增长。全面推动京津冀协同发展,缩小区域经济差异是重点,尤其应细化河北的区域发展政策;要强化滨海经济带的辐射带动作用,加快基础设施建设,促进冀中南的集中连片慢速增长地区快速发展。

    Abstract:

    This paper uses the per capita GDP data of 181 regional units during 2000—2014 to analyze the spatial pattern of economic development and uses spatial econometric model to estimate its spatial effect and policy effect. The result shows that the regional economy development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei has significant difference, that the difference between the north and the south is bigger than that between the east and the west, that club-type spatial agglomeration feature is obvious, that the rich club effect and the poor club effect coexist simultaneously, that geographical location, early development level and spatial correlation have direct influence on regional unit economy growth, however, policy effect shows heterogeneity, and that the policy effect before 2014 has boosting effect on the economic growth of Beijing and Tianjin but restricts the economic growth of Hebei on certain degree. In order to overall promote the collaborative development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, the important point is to narrow regional economy difference, especially, to in detail make regional development policy of Hebei, to strengthen the radiating and driving effect of the economy of coastal areas, to accelerate the infrastructure construction, and to promote rapid development of the central and the south of Hebei from slow development.

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丁新.京津冀经济发展的空间格局、空间效应与政策效应研究[J].西部论坛,2017,27(2):49-57

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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-04-05