注入与漏出:典型中等收入国家的经济循环与增长——兼论西方经济增长理论在发展中国家的适用性
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Pouring in and Leaking: Economic Cycle and Growth in Typical Middle-Income Countries—On Application of Western Economic Growth Theory to Developing Countries
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    摘要:

    西方主流经济增长理论在指导发展中国家的经济发展中显然没有像指导发达国家那样成功,中等收入国家普遍陷入了“中等收入陷阱”。典型中等收入国家在经济腾飞阶段依靠外部注入快速实现了工业化,但由于未能培育出具备自生能力的国民企业体系和成熟的本土资本市场,其经济体构造先天性存在缺陷,进而使其国民经济循环存在三种经济漏出,即国际漏出、政府漏出和寡头(分利集团)漏出,而无论是外部注入和还是内部注入的作用都被这三种经济漏出抵消了,并导致西方经济增长理论所提供的促进经济增长政策失效。堵塞中等收入国家经济循环漏洞的关键是培育健康的国民企业和建设维护本土资本市场,进而构造健全的经济体。从长远角度看,突破中等收入陷阱需要“政府—市场—社会”三元协调发展,流体力学和国民经济循环的“注入—漏出”机制也为经济增长理论的创新和发展提供了新的视角。

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    Western mainstream economic growth theory is not as obviously successful in the guidance of the economic development of the developing countries as in the guidance of the developed countries, and the middle-income countries are ubiquitously bogged down in middle-income trap. The typical middle-income countries rapidly realized industrialization by depending on externally pouring in during the economic taking-off stage, however, because those countries did not cultivate the national enterprise system and mature local capital market with self-growth capability, their national economy has such three types of leaking as international leaking, government leaking and oligarchy leaking, no matter externally pouring in or internally pouring in it is offset by the three types of leaking and boosts its ineffectiveness of the economic growth policy provided by western economic growth theory.. The key to stopping the economic cycle leak of the middle-income countries is to cultivate healthy national enterprises, to construct and maintain local capital market and to build healthy economic body. From long-term perspective, the breakthrough of middle-income trap needs triple coordinated development of government-market-society, and the hydrodynamics and the pouring in and leaking out mechanism of national economic cycle also provide new vision for the innovation and development of economic growth theory.

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张 猛,关雪凌.注入与漏出:典型中等收入国家的经济循环与增长——兼论西方经济增长理论在发展中国家的适用性[J].西部论坛,2016,26(6):1-11

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  • 在线发布日期: 2016-12-07