我国文化产品出口影响因素分析
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An Analysis of Factors Affecting the Export of Chinese Cultural Products
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    摘要:

    采用2002—2013年我国对33个国家(地区)文化产品出口额的面板数据,运用扩展的引力模型,对我国文化产品的影响因素进行静态和动态分析。静态模型分析表明:中国和进口国(地区)的经济规模、进口国(地区)的收入和科技应用水平、共同边界和共同自贸区对我国文化产品出口有着显著的促进作用,文化距离有着显著的阻碍作用,地理距离有一定的阻碍作用但并不显著;动态模型的回归结果显示:前一期文化产品出口对于当期有着明显的促进作用,这种促进作用部分抵消了地理距离和文化距离的阻碍作用。经济新常态下,应以经济总体发展带动文化产业发展,以创新驱动文化产业发展;加强对外文化交流,弱化文化距离的阻碍作用;积极参与全球和区域经济合作,从经济合作中拓展文化产品出口的渠道。

    Abstract:

    Using the panel data of Chinese cultural product export to 33 countries during 2002—2013, this paper conducts static and dynamic empirical analysis of the factors affecting the export of Chinese cultural products by the extended gravity model. The static model shows that the scales of economies of China and importing countries, income levels and the technological application level of importing countries, common borders and free trade zone have significant promoting effect on he export of Chinese cultural products;cultural distance has significant impeditive effect;geographical distance has some impeditive effect, but it is not significant. The dynamic model shows that export of cultural products of the former period has significant promoting effect on the next period, and this promotion even partially offsets the effect of geographical distance and cultural distance. Under the new normal of economy, cultural industry development should be driven by the overall economic development and innovation;international cultural exchange should be promoted to reduce the impeditive role of cultural distance;global and regional economic cooperation should be positively particpated in to broaden the channel for cultural product export.

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王青,秦琳贵.我国文化产品出口影响因素分析[J].西部论坛,2015,25(5):99-108

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