上海服务业劳动生产率变动分解——基于shift-share方法的分行业实证分析
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Analysis of Labor Productivity Change of Shanghai Service Industry—An Empirical Analysis of the Service Industry and Sub-sectors of Shanghai Based on Shift-share Method
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    摘要:

    2012年,上海服务业增加值占GDP比重超过60%,达到“服务经济”的国际标准。采用shift-share方法对2002—2011年上海服务业劳动生产率变动进行分解,结果表明:“结构奖赏”和“结构负担”效应并存,且“奖赏”强于“负担”;服务业内部结构转换有助于提升产业总体劳动生产率,但力度有限;服务业劳动生产率的提升主要来源于内部各行业劳动生产率的提升,而市场化改革是其主要推动力;内部劳动生产率增长最快的行业主要集中在生产性服务业领域,而公共服务业内部增长效应偏低;在生产性服务业中金融业内部劳动生产率增长最快。因此,上海应加速市场化改革以推动服务业各行业按自身规律协调发展,而不能刻意追求片面性的结构调整。

    Abstract:

    In 2012,the ratio of the value-added of Shanghai service industry to GDP is over 60 percent and reaches international standard of “service economy”. The shift-share method is used to decompose the change of the labor productivity of service industry of Shanghai during 2002—2011,and the results show that the effect of “structural prize” and “structural burden” exists,and the “prize” is stronger than the “burden”,that the inner structural adjustment is conducive to promoting total industrial labor productivity,but its impetus is limited,that the improvement of the labor productivity of the service industry mainly emanates from the improvement of each sub-sector labor productivity,however,market-oriented reform is its main impetus,that the industries with the rapidest growth of inner labor productivity mainly include producer service industry field,however,the growth effect in public service industry is at the lower-side,but the growth of labor productivity in financial industry in producer service industry is fastest. Thus,Shanghai should speed up the market oriented reform to promote the harmonious development of all sub-sectors of the service industry according to the respective development laws but should not unilaterally seek the industry structure changes.

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查贵勇.上海服务业劳动生产率变动分解——基于shift-share方法的分行业实证分析[J].西部论坛,2013,23(6):97-104

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