基于公平发展视角的碳减排国际比较
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International Comparison of the Carbon Emissions Reduction Based on Fair Development Rights
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    摘要:

    发达国家和发展中国家对认定碳排放历史责任、分配碳减排任务还存在诸多争议,使得应对全球气候变化的国际碳减排合作机制充满变数。构建国际面板数据模型分析32个发达国家和17个发展中国家1971—2009年经济增长对二氧化碳排放的影响程度,结果表明:碳排放的收入弹性系数呈现增长趋势,其中发达国家碳排放的收入弹性系数一直大于发展中国家,2005年后也没有严格履行碳减排义务;同时,《京都议定书》规定的碳减排双重政策也没有造成产业非正常转移。从各国公平拥有经济发展权的角度来看,当前要求发展中国家承担硬性碳减排义务并不公平,应该用碳排放的收入弹性系数来评价各国碳减排效果。

    Abstract:

    Developed countries and developing countries have a lot of controversies about historical responsibility for carbon emissions and the task for carbon emission reduction, which make international cooperation mechanism uncertain for international carbon emission reduction responding to global climate change. This paper constructs an international panel data model to analyze the influence of carbon dioxide emission on economic growth in 32 developed countries and 17 developing countries during 1971—2009, the results show that the income elasticity coefficient of carbon emissions is increasing, that the income elasticity coefficient of carbon emission in developed countries is continuously bigger than that of developing countries, that the developed countries have not strictly fulfilled the obligation for carbon emission reduction, meanwhile, dual policy under “Kyoto Protocol” has not made abnormal transfer of industry. Based on economic development rights owned by each country, it is unfair to require developing countries for taking carbon emission reduction obligation currently, the income elasticity coefficient of carbon emission should be used to evaluate carbon emission reduction effects of each country.

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李军军.基于公平发展视角的碳减排国际比较[J].西部论坛,2012,22(2):66-71

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