国际金融危机的启示和反思
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Inspiration and Reflection on International Financial Crisis
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    摘要:

    美国次贷危机引发的全球性金融危机,根源在于以华尔街为首的美欧金融体系违反了金融业3个基本原则:植根于工商产业,严格管控风险,杠杆率适度。我国金融体系要防止5个趋势:政策过度叠加,增加企业融资成本,“老大”意识蔓延,收入过高,服务意识不强。规避危机要力求4个平衡:贷款余额与GDP大体1∶1,证券市场市值与GDP大体1∶1,房地产总市值与GDP大体1∶1,国家主权债务加上社会保障支出与GDP大体1∶1。化解金融危机,不能依靠金融业自我循环,而要靠科技进步和发展实体经济。

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    The global financial crisis triggered by American subprime mortgage crisis results from the financial systems, led by Wall Street, of Europe and the United States which violate such three principles of financial industry as being rooted in industry and commerce, strict risk management and control, as well as moderate leverage rate. China’s financial industry should prevent such five trends as excessive overlapping policies, increasing enterprises’ financing cost, too much privileged consciousness, too high income and weak service consciousness. Crisis-prevention should use such four balances as the gross proportion of loan to GDP 1∶1, gross proportion of securities market value to GDP 1∶1, gross proportion of total real estate value to GDP 1∶1, and gross proportion of national sovereign debt plus social security expenditure to GDP 1∶1. Crisis solution should not only depend on self-circulation of financial industry but rely on scientific and technological progress and tangible economy development.

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黄奇帆.国际金融危机的启示和反思[J].西部论坛,2012,22(2):1-4

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