金融市场回复性与间歇性交互效应研究
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The Study of Interaction Effects of Reversion and Intermittency in Financial Markets
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    摘要:

    基于Lux 和Marchesi(1999)的研究,具有3种行为特质的交易者禀赋使金融市场交易者行为具有相对同质性与绝对异质性,进而使金融市场可能存在回复性与间歇性的交互效应。以3种具有回复性或间歇性的信号波对上证指数和道琼斯指数波动进行计量检验,结果证实了上证指数和道琼斯指数的波动均受回复性与间歇性交互效应的影响,其中上证市场的影响更为强烈,说明道琼斯市场的有效性高于上证市场。因此,金融市场价格波动的复杂性不仅在于市场中存在回复性和间歇性,而且还在于回复性与 间歇性的交互效应。

    Abstract:

    Based on the researches of Lux and Marchesi (1999), the endowment of business dealers with three kinds of behavior idiosyncrasy makes business dealer behaviors in financial market relatively homogeneous and absolutely heterogeneous and further makes financial market have the interactive effect of reversion and intermittency, three kinds of signal waves with reversion and intermittency are used to conduct calculation test for the price fluctuations of Shanghai Stock Composite Index and Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, and the results show that the price volatility of Shanghai Stock Composite Index and Dow Jones Industrial Average Index are both affected by the interaction effects of reversion and intermittency, among which Shanghai Stock Market is affected more strongly, which means that the validity of Dow Jones Market is higher than that of Shanghai Stock Market. Thus, the complexity of price vibration of financial market not only results from reversion and intermittency in the market but also from the interaction effects of reversion and intermittency.

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付 辉.金融市场回复性与间歇性交互效应研究[J].西部论坛,2012,22(1):95-101

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