中国服务贸易出口的动态增长
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Dynamic Growth of China’s Services Export
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    摘要:

    采用恒定市场份额模型(CMS模型)对1997年以来中国加入WTO前后两个不同时期的服务贸易出口增长成因进行分析,结果显示:世界市场服务需求的扩大和中国服务产品竞争力的提高是导致中国服务出口增长的主要因素;而长期以来,世界服务进口结构的变化在一定程度上阻碍中国服务出口的增长;另外,中国服务出口结构与世界服务进口结构的交互变化对于中国服务出口增长的贡献不大,但中国加入WTO后表现出明显增长的态势。我国在改善服务贸易出口结构的同时,还应打破服务行业垄断或者在一定程度上引入竞争,提高其行业效率,这样才能使我国的服务出口更具国际竞争力。

    Abstract:

    Constant Market Share Model is used to analyze the reasons for service export growth at two different stages before and after China’s WTO entry since 1997, the results show that the expansion of the world market’s demand for services and the improvement of the competitiveness of China’s service are the foremost formative factor for for increased services export, however, the long-term change of the world service export structure impedes the export growth of China’s service to some degree, furthermore, the contribution of the interchange between China’s service export structure and the global service export structure to China’s service export growth is small but is obviously big after China’s WTO entry. China should break through service industry monopoly or introduce competitive mechanism to service industry to some extent while improve service export structure, raise service export industry operating efficiency so as to let China’s service export with more international competence.

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引用本文

马凌远.中国服务贸易出口的动态增长[J].西部论坛,2011,21(3):60-65

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