市场成长背景下的经济周期微波化研究
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Research on Narrowing Fluctuation in Business Cycle under Market Growth Background
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    摘要:

    对OECD31个国家的实证分析进一步证明了经济周期微波化是所有经济发展、市场制度不断完善的国家的普遍趋势,其内在原因在于“市场成长”。将市场成长定义为“市场机制不断成熟,信息不对称的幅度不断减小”,可以很好地解释转轨国家经济周期的高位收敛趋势和发达国家经济周期的微波化趋势。因此,我们需要正确地理解“市场成长”,应将信息不对称的程度作为衡量市场成熟度的重要标准;同时,应坚持和加快市场化改革,以加快实现我国经济高位收敛、提高经济增长质量等经济目标。

    Abstract:

    Empirical analysis based on 31 countries of OECD further indicates that narrowing fluctuation in business cycle is a universal trend for all countries with continuously developing of economy and perfecting of system and that its internal reason is “market growth”. Defining market growth as “continuously maturing market mechanism and decreasing magnitude of information asymmetry”can well explain high level convergence trend in business cycle in transition countries and narrowing fluctuation trend of business cycle in developed countries. Thus, we need to correctly understand “market growth” and take the magnitude of information asymmetry as an important standard to measure market maturity, meanwhile, we should stick to and accelerate marketization reform, in order to rapidly attain the economic goal of China’s economic high level convergence, improving economic growth quality and so on.

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李 勇,王满仓.市场成长背景下的经济周期微波化研究[J].西部论坛,2011,21(3):33-41

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