适度外汇储备规模的定量分析方法比较

Quantitative Analyses and Compar ison about Scales of Fore ign Exchange Reserves
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    摘要:

    外汇储备和其他很多经济变量一样存在一个适度规模的问题,但是如何准确地衡量外汇储备需求量,保持外汇储备适度规模是外汇储备理论的一大难题,对此中外经济学家作了不少研究。目前,衡量外汇储备适度规模的定量分析方法主要有比例分析方法、成本收益分析法、回归分析法等,它们为外汇储备适度规模的研究提供了多种途径和较为全面的分析框架;综合利用这些方法,对于中国外储备的适度规模研究具有重要价值。

    Abstract:

    Just as other economic variables, the scale of the foreign exchange reserves must be moderate. But how to measure the demand for foreign exchange reserves and keep the scalesmoderate is a difficult p roblem. Many economists at home and abroad focus research on this p roblem. In this paper, the author introduced the quantitative theories to analyze the issues of foreign exchange reserves, which include p roportion analysis, regression analysis and cost - benefit analysis. These theories offered some app roaches to analyze the app rop riate scale of the foreign exchange reserves.

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孔立平.适度外汇储备规模的定量分析方法比较[J].西部论坛,2008,(4):98-103

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