中国—东盟国家对外开放对金融发展的影响研究
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The Effects of Openness on Financial Development in Theory and Empiricism:Evidence from China-ASEAN Data
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    摘要:

    由于国家(区域)间经济金融发展水平的差异,对外开放对金融发展的影响具有不确定性。利用1995—2013年中国—东盟10个样本国的面板数据进行实证分析,结果表明:贸易开放总体上有助于金融发展;金融开放会促进金融机构发展,但对股票市场发展、债券市场发展的影响不确定;银行集中度的下降能促进金融发展,经济增长显著促进金融发展,而制度质量对金融发展的影响存在不确定性。出现不确定性的原因不仅在于各国经济、金融发展水平差异较大,更在于其贸易开放与金融开放之间的不协调(结构不匹配)。因此,中国—东盟各国应积极推动贸易开放,适度金融开放并逐渐消减利益集团的阻挠,提高金融开放与贸易开放的协调性,并加强金融合作,以促进各国金融发展及区域金融协调发展。

    Abstract:

    Because of the difference in economic and financial development between countries or regions, the influence of the openness on financial development has uncertainty. This paper makes empirical analysis of panel data of ten countries of China-ASEAN during 1995-2013, and the results show that the openness of trade is as a whole conducive to financial development, that financial openness can boost the development of financial agencies but the impact of stock market development and bonds market development is uncertain, that the decrease of bank centralization degree can promote financial development, that economic growth can significantly propel financial development, and however, the effect of institutional quality on financial development has uncertainty. The reason for uncertainty emergence results not only from big difference in economic and financial development level between each country but also from un-compatibility (un-compatible structure) between trade development and financial openness. As a result, each country of China-ASEAN should actively promote trade openness, suitably open finance, gradually decrease the blockade of vested interests, boost the compatibility between financial openness and trade openness, and strengthen financial cooperation so as to improve financial development between each country and regional financial coordinated development.

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刘方,曹文婷.中国—东盟国家对外开放对金融发展的影响研究[J].西部论坛,2017,27(1):67-75

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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-02-20