国际原油价格波动对我国经济的影响与应对措施
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The Influence of International Crude Oil Price Vibration on China’s Economy and Its Countermeasures
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    摘要:

    近年来国际油价波动有两个基本特征:一是波动幅度大,二是高价位波动。引起油价波动的原因是多方面的,其中需求的拉动和国际投机资本在石油市场的空前活跃是两个主要原因。国际原油价格的波动加剧了我国国内经济的波动,输入通货膨胀压力,并造成相关产业经营的不确定性。应节能降耗,减少对原油的过度依赖;推进原油进口市场多元化战略,打破原油进口高度垄断的贸易体制;加快原油战略储备体系建设,保障国家能源安全;改革和完善原油市场体制,建立原油期货市场,谋求国际油价定价权,进而提高风险应对能力。

    Abstract:

    In recent years, there are two basic characteristics in international oil price vibration, one is big vibration extent, and the other is the vibration on high price level. There are many reasons for oil price vibration, among which two main reasons are demand pull and unprecedented active international speculation capital in oil market. International crude oil price vibration aggravates domestic economic vibration, imports inflation pressure and causes uncertainty of the related industrial business. China should conserve energy and reduce energy consumption, lower excessive dependence on crude oil, push forward multistrategy for importing crude oil, break the highmonopoly trade system for importing crude oil, accelerate crude oil strategy reserve system construction, ensure national energy safety, reform and perfect crude oil market system, set up crude oil futures market, and seek pricing right for international crude oil to boost the ability to control the risk.

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牛菊芳.国际原油价格波动对我国经济的影响与应对措施[J].西部论坛,2011,21(6):58-65

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