社会保障基金入市风险分析
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Analysis of the r isk of soc ial secur ity funds enter ing stock market
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    摘要:

    社保基金入市后,由于自身特殊性质以及我国股票市场的特殊环境,面临着诸多风险,为了实现社保基金入市后盈利性与安全性的均衡,必须实行有效的风险管理。均值—方差模型、β系数模型、VaR模型和CVaR模型在度量资产的风险中有着广泛的应用。均值—方差和β系数分析均表明,社保基金组合的系统性风险小于整个大盘的风险;各股VaR 和CVaR值加权明显大于组合的值,也说明了投资组合可分散风险。

    Abstract:

    The entrance of the social security funds to stock market faces many risks because of its special characteristics and the special environments of China’s stockmarket. In order to achieve the balance of social security funds between the p rofitability and safety of social security funds after their entrance to stock market, it is necessary to p ractise effective risk management. Mean - variance model, β coefficientmodel, VaR model and CVaR model are widely app lied in the measurement of asset risk, and mean - varance model andβ coefficient analysis indicate that the systematic risk of social security funds is smaller than that of whole stock market. VaR and CVaR weight of each share is obviously bigger than their combination, which reveals that investment combination can separate the risk

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何 军,周 明,陈 磊.社会保障基金入市风险分析[J].西部论坛,2008,(5):74-77

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