| 摘要: |
| 进入“十二五”以来，中国产业发展环境出现若干重大标志性变化，突出地表现为城镇人口超过农村人口，城镇化对产业需求和产业布局的影响日益广泛而深刻；人口老龄化提速、劳动年龄人口数量和占比下降，对产业需求和产业成本（结构）的影响出现重大变化；投资和消费对经济增长的贡献出现转折性变化，培育产业发展新动力、拓展产业发展新空间的重要性迅速凸显；国际形势对中国产业发展的影响日趋复杂严峻，推进产业迈向中高端水平、培育对外经济新优势日趋紧迫。“十三五”期间，科学研判这些变化，有利于积极适应把握引领经济发展新常态。 |
| 关键词: 产业布局 产业发展 城镇化 人口老龄化 经济增长 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号: |
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| Changes and Impacts of China’s Industrial Development Environment |
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JIANG Chang-yun1,21,2
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1. School of Economics and Management, Anhui Agriculture University, Anhui Hefei 230036, China;2. Institute of Industrial Economy and Technical Economy, National Development and Reform Committee, Beijing 100038, China
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| Abstract: |
| Since the beginning of “the Twelfth Five-year” plan, significant changes have occurred in China’s industrial development environment, which are predominantly featured by urban population exceeding the rural population and the impact of urbanization on industrial demand and distribution has become more and more extensive and profound. With the accelerated aging trend of the population and the decreased in the number and proportion of working-age population, there are significant changes on industrial demand and costs (structure). The contribution of investment and consumption to economic growth is changing transitionally, and the importance of cultivating new engines and expanding new space of industrial development are highlighted rapidly. The influence of international situation on China’s industrial development becomes increasingly complicated and severe, therefore, it is becoming more and more urgent to promote industries in China towards midrange and high-end level and to foster new advantages of foreign economy. During “the Thirteen Five-year Plan” period, scientific study on these changes is conducive to actively mastering and leading new normalcy of the economy. |
| Key words: industrial layout industrial development urbanization population aging economic growth |
