| 摘要: |
| 利用基于弹性测度的脱钩模型，对1998—2010年我国各省区工业碳排放与产出的脱钩关系进行测算，结果表明：中国工业整体处于相对脱钩的低碳发展阶段，但不同省区工业低碳发展进程差异较大；近年来，四大区域工业碳排放的产出弹性平稳下降，工业脱钩弹性的区域差距不断缩减。利用动态面板模型检验工业资本深化、所有制结构变革与我国工业碳排放的关系，结果表明：资本深化整体上促进了工业碳减排，而FDI显著推动了工业碳排放增长；“国退民进”的工业产权结构改革促进了工业节能减排，但民营企业比重提高所带来的减排促进效应并不显著。因此，应该保持和加强工业节能减排与结构调整政策的稳定性与连续性，并防止地方分权体制下地区工业资本扩张的环境“竞次”行为。 |
| 关键词: 资本深化 所有制变革 碳排放 低碳转型 节能减排 脱钩弹性 相对脱钩 绝对脱钩 环境“竞次” |
| DOI： |
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| Capital Deepening，Ownership Reform and Industrial Carbon Emissions in China |
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ZHOU Wu-qi
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| Abstract: |
| With the decoupling model based on elasticity analyses，this paper estimates the decoupling relationship between the industrial carbon emission and industrial growth for each province and municipality of China from 1998 to 2010. The results show that Chinese industry is currently in a relatively decoupling stage for low-carbon development，however，there is big difference in industrial low-carbon development between different provinces and municipalities，that in four regions，the output elasticity of industrial carbon emission is smoothly declining while the regional difference of industrial decoupling elasticity is constantly shrinking. Dynamic panel models are used to examine the relationship between capital deepening，industrial ownership reform and industrial carbon emissions，and the empirical results indicate that capital deepening overall promotes industrial carbon emission，however，FDI significantly boosts industrial carbon emission growth， that industrial equity structure reform with “state-owned enterprises retreat but private enterprises advance” promotes the energy conservation and emission reduction，but the raising of private enterprises proportion does not bring obvious effect on emission reduction. Thus，China should keep and enhance energy conservation and emission reduction and the stability and continuity of structural adjustment policy and avoid environmental “race to the bottom” behaviors of industrial capital expansion under the system of decentralization. |
| Key words: capital deepening ownership reform carbon emission low-carbon transition energy conservation and emission reduction decoupling elasticity relatively decoupling absolutely decoupling environmental “race to the bottom”behavior |
