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| 摘要: |
| 1997年直辖以来,重庆入境旅游得到较为迅速的发展,入境旅游人数和外汇收入均有较快的增长。从入境旅游者的来源地区看,来渝旅游的外国游客中,美洲第一、亚洲第二、欧洲第三,而全国的排名依次是亚洲、欧洲、美洲、大洋洲,说明在吸引亚洲市场方面还有待提高;从入境游客消费结构来看,重庆与全国基本相同。可运用时间序列模型中的曲线拟合方法,对重庆入境旅游人数和旅游收入进行预测。 |
| 关键词: 入境旅游 旅游市场结构 旅游人数 旅游收入 重庆 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号:F127 F590.8 |
| 基金项目: |
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| Analysis of market features and development direction forecast for inbound tourism in Chongqing since 1997 |
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CHEN Ping ZHANG Yu-hong
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| Abstract: |
| The inbound tourism rapidly develops in Chongqing since Chongqing became the municipality directly under the central government in 1997, and the number of the tourists of inbound,tourism and foreign currency revenue have rapidly increased. From the analysis of the source of the tourists, the number of the tourists from America takes the first place, from Asia takes the second place, from Europe takes the third place, but the nationwide analysis shows that the ranking order of the number of inbound tourists is Asia, Europe, America and Oceanica, which indicate that Chongqing should improve its policy to attract more tourists from Asia. Analysis of consumption structure of the tourists shows that Chongqing is as the same as all China, Curve Fitting Method of Time Series Model can be used to predict the number of inbound tourists and tourism revenue of Chongqing. |
| Key words: inbound tourism tourism market structure number of tourists tourism revenue Chongqing |
