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| 摘要: |
| 根据协整检验分析,我国出口对国民经济增长具有推动作用,进口对国民经济增长具有一定的抑制作用,但进口对国民经济增长的抑制作用要比出口的促进作用小得多;从短期动态关系来看,出口和进口都对国民经济的增长具有促进作用,但出口对国民经济增长的促进作用比进口小得多,格兰杰因果检验显示我国出口与经济增长的相关关系较弱. |
| 关键词: 经济增长 进口 出口 误差修正模型 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号:F224.0 F752.6[著者标引] |
| 基金项目: |
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| Empirical study of the relations between the trade of import and export and economic growth |
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KONG Qun-xi XU Gui-yang
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| Abstract: |
| Based on co-integration test analysis,China's export has promoting effect on economic growth of China and China's import has certain inhibiting effect on the economic growth of China,but the inhibiting effect of the import is much less than the promoting effect of the export on the economic growth of China.According to short-term dynamic relation,the export and import have promoting effect on economic growth of China but promoting effect of export on economic growth of China is much less than the import.Granger Causality Test shows that the relation between China's export and economic growth is weak. |
| Key words: economic growth import export Error Correction Model |
