|
| 摘要: |
| 在对重庆出口贸易与经济增长进行统计分析的基础上,利用计量经济学理论中的单位根检验、协整及误差修正模型等方法,对重庆出口与经济增长的相关性进行分析.结果表明,二者存在着长期稳定的关系,且存在着由出口到经济增长的单向的Granger原因,可见出口是促进重庆经济发展的一个原因. |
| 关键词: 出口 协整分析 误差修正模型 Granger因果关系 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号:F127 F752.8 |
| 基金项目: |
|
| Correlation analysis of Chongqing GDP and its export |
|
SUN Jian
|
| Abstract: |
| This paper analyzes the correlations of Chongqing GDP and its export on the use of the theory of trait root test, co-integration test, error correct model in econometrics after the author makes some statistical analysis on the two kinds of data. The conclusions show that there are the long and stable relationships between these data and there is also a Grange causality from export to GDP. In the end, some countenmea sures are discussed about Chongqing export trade. |
| Key words: GDP |
